Ayr United face Alloa Athletic at the Indodrill Stadium this weekend, as they go head to head in the Scottish Championship.
Tom Pearce, Honest Men Picks Predictor (@tompearce97)
This will be the 49th meeting between the two sides, with Ayr coming out winners in more than half of them.
The Honest Men won comfortably in the reverse fixture, beating Alloa 4-1 back in January.
How will this weekend’s game play out?
Ayr United Team News & Injuries
Corrie Ndaba was forced off on the 39th minute on Tuesday, so David Hopkin’s will have to wait and see if the on-loan Ipswich defender will be available for Saturday.
Alloa Athletic Team News & Injuries
Peter Grant will have the same group of players to pick from as the ones he had last week after they came out unscathed in last Friday’s game.
Ayr United Form
The Honest Men made it through to the third round of the Scottish Cup on Tuesday after beating Elgin City 4-0 away from home.
When it comes to the Championship, Ayr have won two, drawn two and lost two in their last six. That means they find themselves in fifth in the form table.
Alloa Athletic Form
Alloa didn’t play in the week so they come into this game on the back of the 3-0 home loss to Dundee last Friday.
Meanwhile, they are currently struggling for form. They find themselves bottom of the form table after three losses, two draws and a win from the last six.
Our Picks For Honest Men Picks – Alloa Athletic V Ayr United
1. Will Ayr United score in the first half? Yes
The Honest Men got their business done early in the week, scoring all four goals before the half time whistle.
They don’t tend to score many in the first period when playing away, though, with just four goals from 11.
The thing is, Alloa have kept a clean sheet in the first 45 minutes in just 18% of their home games this campaign.
2. Will Ayr United score in the second half? Yes
Ayr scored half of their goals (2) in the second period when the two sides last met in the reverse fixture.
They have also managed to score in the second 45 minutes in 73% of their away games this season.
Alloa, on the other hand, have conceded 14 goals from 11. That’s an average of 1.27 goals against per second half when at home.
3. How many goals will Ayr United score? 3
It was the four goals in the game on Tuesday and it was the four goals scored in the reverse fixture in January.
It wouldn’t be a surprise to see Ayr scoring three goals, though, as they have done so in 18% of their away games this campaign.
Meanwhile, the hosts have a worse defensive record when they play at home compared to when they’re on the road.
They have conceded 25 goals from 11 at Indodrill Stadium, averaging 2.27 goals against per home game.
4. Will Luke McCowan score? Yes
McCowan scored twice in Tuesday’s game, notching his eighth and ninth goals of the season.
It’s been a while since his last goal in the league, though. The thing is, the last time he did score was when he notched his second of the game in the reverse fixture against Alloa.
This will be his seventh appearance against Alloa, scoring four goals in the previous six games, which is more goals against them than any other team.
5. How many shots on target will Ayr United have? 4+
Ayr have tested opposition goalkeepers on 18 occasions in their last five league games, averaging 3.6 shots on target per 90.
However, they only managed to hit the target four or more times in just two of those five games.
The thing is, Alloa have conceded 29 shots on their goal in their last five matches, averaging 5.8 shots on target against per game.
As well as that, Ayr tested Neil Parry five times in the reverse fixture.
6. Will Michael Moffat score? No
The forward scored one of Ayr’s four goals on Tuesday, scoring his fourth goal of the season with just one of them coming in the league.
His only Championship goal also came quite a while ago, scoring in the 2-0 win over Dundee in November.
This will be the 15th time Moffat will have come up against Alloa, scoring just three in the previous 14 games against them.
- How many corners will Ayr United be awarded? 4+
- How many goals will Ayr United concede? 0
- How many saves will Ayr United goalkeepers make? 2
- Will Ayr United beat Alloa Athletic? Yes
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